ernesto

As of early Wednesday morning, Ernesto weakened to a tropical storm as it doused Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula with rain, according to the National Hurricane Center.…

NHC Atlantic Outlook ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE AUG 7 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON JUST-UPGRADED HURRICANE ERNESTO...LOCATED ABOUT 185 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. 1. THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. 2. DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OF FLORENCE...LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR REDEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF AGAIN BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

NHC Atlantic Outlook ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS HONDURAS...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE...LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 770 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN NNNN

NHC Atlantic Outlook ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. 1. A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW TODAY...AND IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE ADVISORIES COULD BE INITIATED LATER THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...DRY AIR AND COOLER WATERS COULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN A DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. 2. THE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS INCREASED OVER EASTERN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. HOWEVER...AS THE TROUGH MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH...DEVELOPMENT COULD BE INHIBITED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER OR NEAR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA NNNN

Residents and city officials in Galveston are keeping an extra close eye on Tropical Storm Ernesto. Norman Williamson is Deputy Emergency Management Coordinator for Galveston…

After a quiet July, August started with the makings of a tropical storm. According to forecasters, a fifth tropical depression is heading toward the Caribbean…