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NHC Atlantic Outlook

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

800 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON

RECENTLY-DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO…LOCATED OVER THE

YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF

CAMPECHE.

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT

700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME

SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL

DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM

CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

2. THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE…A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES

EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…CONTINUE TO PRODUCE

DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER…UPPER-LEVEL WINDS

ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR REDEVELOPMENT…AND THIS

SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…NEAR 0 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL

CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-

NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

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NHC Atlantic Outlook  was originally published on news92fm.com

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